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Future Scenarios   Peter Stonham
LTT859   19 December 2022

DfT’s National Road Traffic projections stir up debate on scale of road building

The Department for Transport has published its widely awaited and inevitably controversial updated strategic view of future road travel demand, including long term projection data of road traffic, congestion and emissions in England and Wales from 2025 to 2060.

A number of “plausible scenarios” have been used to reflect the uncertainty in the factors affecting road traffic demand. The Core Scenario projects a 22% increase in traffic between 2025 and 2060 by using the latest government projections of the main drivers of road traffic demand including population, economic growth, employment, households, fuel prices and fuel efficiency.


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